I have entered a short iron condor earnings play on ACI, using options that trade for the last time 39 days hence, on February 18. The premium is a $2.16 credit per contract share and the stock at the time of entry was priced at $31.24.
The Implied Volatility Rank stands at 35.5%
The premium is 43.2% of the width of the positions short/long spreads. The profit zone covers a 12.5% move to the upside and a 15.0% move to the downside.
The risk/reward ratio is 1.3:1, with maximum risk of $284 and maximum reward of $216 per contract.
How I chose the trade. The trade was placed to coincide with ACI’s earnings announcement, before the opening bell on the day after entry. The short strikes were set to coincided with the expected move of $2.49 either way, based on options pricing, which gives a price range of $30.21 to $32.70.
By Tim Bovee, Portland, Oregon, January 10, 2021
Tim Bovee, Private Trader tracks the analysis and trades of a private trader for his own accounts. Nothing in this blog constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, options or any other financial instrument. The only purpose of this blog is to provide education and entertainment.
No trader is ever 100 percent successful in his or her trades. Trading in the stock and option markets is risky and uncertain. Each trader must make trading decisions for his or her own account, and take responsibility for the consequences.
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