Tribune Media Co. (TRCO)
TRCO publishes earnings on Wednesday before the opening bell.
I shall use the APR series of options, which trades for the last time 52 days hence, on April 21.
Implied volatility stands at 35%, which is 2.7 times the VIX, a measure of the volatility of the S&P 500 index.
TRCO’s IV stands in the 30th percentile of its annual range and the 99th percentile of its most recent broad movement.
The price used for analysis was $34.80.
| Premium: | -$1.85 | Expire OTM | iron fly |
| TRCO | Odds | Delta | |
| Calls | |||
| Long | 49.23 | 91.5% | 11 |
| Break-even | 32.38 | ||
| Short | 34.23 | 48.4% | 56 |
| Puts | |||
| Short | 34.23 | 51.4% | 44 |
| Break-even | 36.08 | ||
| Long | 14.23 | 87.2% | 10 |
There are very few out-of-the-money strike prices on TRCO’s options grid: Four call strikes and six put strikes. I had to use the extremes of the grid for the long options in order to construct a trade.
And the result? A negative premium. Too amusing.
Decision for My Account
No surprise, I am passing on this trade, laughing with scorn as I reject it.
By Tim Bovee, Portland, Oregon, Feb. 28, 2017
[…] analyzed TRCO but found the trade to be so ridiculous that I rejected it with scornful […]
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