Abbott Laboratories (ABT)
Update 5/1/2017: ABT rose over four days after earnings were published and then, in retracing the decline, reached my target price. I exited at 25.2% of maximum potential profit.
Shares showed a net rise of 0.08% over 13 days, or a +2.3% annual rate. The options position produced a 33.6% yield on debit for a +944% annual rate.
ABT publishes earnings on Wednesday before the opening bell.
I shall use the MAY series of options, which trades for the last time 31 days hence, on May 19.
Implied volatility stands at 21%, which is 1.4 times the VIX, a measure of the volatility of the S&P 500 index.
ABT’s IV stands in the 38th percentile of its annual range and the 72nd percentile of its most recent broad movement.
The price used for analysis was $43.34.
| Premium: | $1.59 | Expire OTM | |
| ABT-iron fly | Strike | Odds | Delta |
| Calls | |||
| Long | 46.00 | 88.6% | 12 |
| Break-even | 44.59 | ||
| Short | 43.00 | 46.7% | 56 |
| Puts | |||
| Short | 43.00 | 53.9% | 44 |
| Break-even | 41.41 | ||
| Long | 40.00 | 87.3% | 11 |
The premium is 53% of the width of the position’s wings.
The risk/reward ratio is 0.8:1.
Decision for My Account
I have entered a position on ABT as described above. The stock at the time of entry was priced at $43.35.
By Tim Bovee, Portland, Oregon, April 18, 2017
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