SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT)
Update 5/12/2017: XRT rose steadily beyond my position’s zone of profitability and then, in last five trading days, retreated, allowing me to exit at $1.46, or 25.1% of maximum potential profit, almost precisely at my target.
Shares showed a net rise of 2.7% over 46 days, or a +21% annual rate. The options position produced a 33.6% yield on debit for a +266% annual rate
XRT has sufficiently high volatility to qualify for trading.
I shall use the MAY series of options, which trades for the last time 53 days hence, on May 19.
Implied volatility stands at 20%, which is 1.5 times the VIX, a measure of the volatility of the S&P 500 index.
XRT’s IV stands in the 43rd percentile of its annual range and the 47th percentile of its most recent broad movement.
The price used for analysis was $41.15.
|XRT – iron fly||Strike||Odds||Delta|
The premium is 56% of the width of the position’s wings.
The risk/reward ratio is 1:1.
Decision for My Account
I have entered a position on XRT as described above. The stock at the time of entry was priced at $41.14.
By Tim Bovee, Portland, Oregon, March 27, 2017