Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co. (HPE)
HPE publishes earnings on Wednesday after the closing bell.
I shall use options that trade for the last time nine days hence, on June 9.
Implied volatility stands at 31%, which is 2.8 times the VIX, a measure of the volatility of the S&P 500 index.
HPE’s IV stands in the 17th percentile of its annual range and the 98th percentile of its most recent broad movement. A series of large volatility spikes in late March and early April brought the annual range percentile down.
The price used for analysis was $18.83.
The premium is 57% of the width of the position’s wings.
The risk/reward ratio is 1.4:1.
Decision for My Account
The grid is formed in such a way that I can’t get decent coverage on the call side, leading to a distorted structure for the trade. That in turn leads to an unacceptably high risk/reward ratio. I am passing on the HPE trade.
By Tim Bovee, Portland, Oregon, May 31, 2017