Live: Wednesday, Dec. 6, 2017

12/6 – 3:45 p.m. New York time

I have entered three new positions, AVGODG and LULU. I exited TLT as part of a roll forward in a series.

12/6 – 3:35 p.m. New York time

I have posted LULU Analysis.

12/6 – 3:15 p.m. New York time

I have posted DG Analysis.

12/6 – 2:55 p.m. New York time

I have posted AVGO Analysis.

12/6 – 2:20 p.m. New York time

I have exited TLT as the first part of a roll forward.

12/6 – 10:20 a.m. New York time

Earnings plays using options on AVGO, DG and LULU are on my agenda today. I shall be looking at rolls of two exchange-traded fund positions: SPY and TLT.

12/5 – 7 p.m. New York time

I have three earnings plays using options on my prospects list for Wednesday: AVGO, DG and LULU.

I’ve also looked at CIEN as a potential trade, but it’s metrics are filled with contradictions: Bullish earnings surprise predictor (ESP), bearish Zacks rank and a non-trending average directional index (ADX). I shall check it again during the next market session to see if the various contradictions have resolved themselves.

None of the seven earnings plays using shares qualify for further analysis as of Tuesday’s market close. MCC and MEI fail on three metrics: ESP, reversed directional index (DI) and low ADX, and NCS also fails on the DI and ADX metrics, and also the rank. MTN fails on the DI and ADX; OLLI, the ESP and ADX; and GEF, the rank alone. These are all volatile metrics, and Wednesday’s session could see some of those symbols revived as potential trades. I shall be keeping an eye on them.

By Tim Bovee, Portland, Oregon, Dec. 5-6, 2017


Tim Bovee, Private Trader tracks the analysis and trades of a private trader for his own accounts. Nothing in this blog constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, options or any other financial instrument. The only purpose of this blog is to provide education and entertainment.

No trader is ever 100 percent successful in his or her trades. Trading in the stock and option markets is risky and uncertain. Each trader must make trading decisions for his or her own account, and take responsibility for the consequences.

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