5/15 – 3 p.m. New York time
I entered four new positIons: TJX, HD, SINA and XOP. I analyzed OAS but rejected the trade, and declined to analyze XRT as its implied volatility fell below my 50th percentile cut-off point in relation to its most recent broad movement.
I exited six positions: BAC, IBM, JWN, M, NVDA and SNAP. I also partially exited LB.
The week’s two major reports will be published on Tuesday: Housing starts at 8:30 a.m. New York time and industrial production statistics at 9:15 a.m.
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. (TEVA)
Update 5/11/2017: TEVA zig-zagged sharply in response to its earnings announcement. I exited at a $1.25 debit, or 29.4% of maximum potential profit.
Shares were down 1.7% over a day, or a -627% annual rate. The options position produced a 41.6% yield on debit for a +15,184% annual rate.
TEVA publishes earnings on Thursday before the opening bell.
I shall use the series of weekly options that trade for the last time eight days hence, on May 19.
Implied volatility stands at 39%, which is 3.9 times the VIX, a measure of the volatility of the S&P 500 index.
TEVA’s IV stands in the 54th percentile of its annual range and the peak of its most recent broad movement.
Snap Inc. (SNAP)
Update 5/15/2017: SNAP gapped sharply to the downside after earnings were published and then rose for three subsequent trading days, partially mitigating the loss. I exited for a loss for a $3.75 debit.
Shares declined by 13.7% over five days, or a -1,003% annual rate. The options position produced a -15.7% loss on debiy for a -1,149% annual rate.
SNAP publishes earnings on Thursday after the closing bell.
I shall use the series of weekly options that trade for the last time eight days hence, on May 19.
Implied volatility stands at 74%, which is 7.4 times the VIX, a measure of the volatility of the S&P 500 index.
SNAP’s IV stands at its peak since the stock began trading publicly on March 2.
Macy’s (M)
Update 5/15/2017: M gapped sharply to the downside the immediately after earnings were published and continued to decline in the ensuing two trading days. I exited the position for a debit of $3.65.
Shares declined by 19.9% over five days, or a -1,437% annual rate. The options position produced a -42.5% loss on debit for a -3,100% annual rate.
M publishes earnings on Thursday before the opening bell.
I shall use the series of weekly options that trade for the last time nine days hence, on May 19.
Implied volatility stands at 47%, which is 4.7 times the VIX, a measure of the volatility of the S&P 500 index.
M’s IV stands in the 88th percentile of its annual range and at the peak of its most recent broad movement.
Kohl’s Corp. (KSS)
Update 5/11/2017: KSS zig-zagged sharply after earnings were published, ending up at my exit down 2.5%, or an annual rate of 925%. The options position produced a 45.7% yield on debit for a +16,686% annual rate.
The exit price was a $2.10 debit, or 31.4% of maximum potential profit.
KSS publishes earnings on Thursday before the opening bell.
I shall use the series of weekly options that trade for the last time nine days hence, on May 19.
Implied volatility stands at 48%, which is 4.8 times the VIX, a measure of the volatility of the S&P 500 index.
KSS’s IV stands in the 78th percentile of its annual range and the 90th percentile of its most recent broad movement.
Whole Food Market Inc. (WFM)
WFM publishes earnings on Wednesday after the closing bell.
I shall use the series of weekly options that trade for the last time nine days hence, on May 19.
Implied volatility stands at 37%, which is 3.4 times the VIX, a measure of the volatility of the S&P 500 index.
WFM’s IV stands in the 62nd percentile of its annual range and at the 87th percentile of its most recent broad movement.
Nordstrom Inc. (JWN)
Update 5/15/2017: JWN declined sharply after earnings were published and gapped down further after earnings were published. I exited the position for a $7.11 debit.
Shares declined by 15.3% over five days, or a -1,116% annual rate. The options position produced a -51.6% loss on debit for a -3,768% annual rate.
JWN publishes earnings on Thursday after the closing bell.
I shall use the series of weekly options that trade for the last time nine days hence, on May 19.
Implied volatility stands at 46%, which is 4.6 times the VIX, a measure of the volatility of the S&P 500 index.
JWN’s IV stands in the 63rd percentile of its annual range and the 97th percentile of its most recent broad movement.
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