I have entered a position on V timed to coincide with an earnings announcement.

I have placed an order to exit MSFT at my target price and shall update the Outcomes if it is filled.

By Tim Bovee, Portland, Oregon, Feb. 2, 2017

 

Visa Inc. (V)

Update 2/27/2017: V stair-stepped higher after earnings were published, alternating rises with retracements in a classic movement in the direction of the primary trend.

Shares rose by 7.75 over 25 days, or a +113% annual rate. The options position produced a 40.5% loss on debit for a -592% annual rate.

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V publishes earnings on Thursday after the closing bell.

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I shall analyze V as an earnings play.

I am also attempting to exit MSFT at my target price.

By Tim Bovee, Portland, Oregon, Feb. 2, 2017

I have two prospective earnings plays for Thursday: V and AMZN.

I shall do a full analysis of V and most likely enter a position.

I am rejecting AMZN without full analysis; the stock is priced north of $800 per share, and that would force me to commit a greater portion of my funds to a single trade than I prefer. Better a smaller commitment to increase diversification.

Hey, Jeff Bezos! Time for a stock split?

By Tim Bovee, Portland, Oregon, Feb. 1, 2017

I have entered a position on FB timed to coincide with an earnings announcement.

I am attempting to exit my position in MSFT but have not yet gotten a fill. If the order should be filled, then I shall post an update to the Outcomes post.

By Tim Bovee, Portland, Oregon, Feb. 1, 2017

Facebook Inc. (FB)

Update 2/7/2017: FB reached its target price and I exited for a profit. 

Shares declined b7 0.6% over six das, or a -36% annual rate. The options position produced a 33.3% yield on debit for a +2,028% annual rate.

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FB publishes earnings on Wednesday after the closing bell.

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I shall analyze FB today as a potential earnings play.

By Tim Bovee, Portland, Oregon, Feb. 1, 2017

 

I have three prospective trades for Wednesday that qualify on grounds of liquidity: FB, MRK and PM. All are potential earnings plays.

I intend to analyze FB.

MRK and PM have overly low implied volatility, both in comparison with the annual range and the most recent broad movement. I shall check them again after the opening bell, but without  a significant rise in implied volatility, neither will qualify for a further look.

By Tim Bovee, Portland, Oregon, Jan. 31, 2017

 

I entered positions timed to coincide with publication of earnings on AAPL and MO.

Two holdings, PFE and WFC, go ex-dividend on Wednesday, and I exited for less than my profit goal in order to avoid early assignment.

By Tim Bovee, Portland, Oregon, Jan. 31, 2017

Altria Group Inc. (MO)

Update 3/3/2017: MO rose continually after earnings were published, quickly moving above the zone of profitability. As options expiration and an ex-dividend date both approached, I exited for a loss.

Shares rose by 5.9% over 30 days, or a 71% annual rate. The options position produced a 34.0% loss on debit for a -414% annual rate.

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MO publishes earnings on Wednesday before the opening bell.

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