Update 3/3/2022: I exited my bull put vertical options spread on NEM, 42 days before expiration, for a $1.38 debit per contract/share, a profit before fees of $54 per contract. Shares were trading at $70.48, up $2.08 from the entry level.
The Implied Volatility Rank at exit was 75, up 6.6 points from the entry level.
I exited because the position exceeded 25% of maximum potential profit, my normal exit point for earnings plays.I exited at 28.1% of maximum potential profit.
Shares rose by 3.0% over eight days for a +139% annual rate. The options position produced a 39.1% return for a +1,785% annual rate.
I have entered a short bull put options spread on NEM, using options that trade for the last time 50 days hence, on April 14. The premium is a $1.92 credit per contract share and the stock at the time of entry was priced at $68.40.
The Implied Volatility Ratio stood at 72.3%.
|NEM-bull put spread||Strike||Odds||Delta|
The premium is 76.8% of the width of the position’s short/long spread. The profit zone covers a 1.5% move to the downside and an unlimited move to the upside.
The risk/reward ratio is 1.6:1, with maximum risk of $308 and maximum reward of $192 per contract.
How I chose the trade. The trade was placed to coincide with NEM’s earnings announcement, before the opening bell on the day after entry. The short strikes were set to coincide as closely as possible with the expected move of $1.94 either way, based on options pricing, which gives a price range of $66.39 to $70.27.
By Tim Bovee, Portland, Oregon, February 23, 2022
Tim Bovee, Private Trader tracks the analysis and trades of a private trader for his own accounts. Nothing in this blog constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, options or any other financial instrument. The only purpose of this blog is to provide education and entertainment.
No trader is ever 100 percent successful in his or her trades. Trading in the stock and option markets is risky and uncertain. Each trader must make trading decisions for his or her own account, and take responsibility for the consequences.
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