Update 6/28/2022: I exited my short bear call vertical spread on NKE, 52 days before expiration, for an $0.85 debit per contract/share, a profit before fees of $50 per contract. Shares were trading at $107.22, down $3.77 from the entry level.
The Implied Volatility Rank at exit was 98.8%, up 11.9 points from the entry level.
I exited on the day after entry because the position reached 37% of maximum potential profit, above my normal exit point for earnings plays, 25% of max.
Shares fell by 3.4% over one day for a -1,240% annual rate. The options position produced a 58.8% return for a +21,471% annual rate.
I have entered a short bear call vertical spread on NKE, using options that trade for the last time 53 days hence, on August 19. The premium is a $1.35 credit per contract share and the stock at the time of entry was priced at $110.99.
The Implied Volatility Ratio stood at 86.9%.
|NKE-bear call spread||Strike||Odds||Delta|
The premium is 54% of the width of the position’s short/long spread. The profit zone covers a 9.3% move to the upside and an unlimited move to the downside.
The risk/reward ratio is 2.7:1, with maximum risk of $365 and maximum reward of $135 per contract.
How I chose the trade. The trade was placed to coincide with x’s earnings announcement, after the closing bell on the day of entry. The short strike was set to coincide with the expected move of $8.50 either way, based on options pricing, which gives a price range of $103.77 to $118.22.
By Tim Bovee, Portland, Oregon, June 27, 2022
Tim Bovee, Private Trader tracks the analysis and trades of a private trader for his own accounts. Nothing in this blog constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, options or any other financial instrument. The only purpose of this blog is to provide education and entertainment.
No trader is ever 100 percent successful in his or her trades. Trading in the stock and option markets is risky and uncertain. Each trader must make trading decisions for his or her own account, and take responsibility for the consequences.
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