Update 7/26/2022: I exited my short bull put vertical spread on MCD, 33 days before expiration, for a $1.11 debit per contract/share, a profit before fees of $23 per contract. Shares were trading at $254.08, up $1.9 from the entry level.
The Implied Volatility Rank at exit was 33.0%, down 11.7 points from the entry level.
I exited on the day after entry as the position reached 17.2% of maximum potential profit, a bit less than my normal exit point for earnings plays, 25% of max. My goal is to get out of a position the next trading day after entry, and so I was willing to accept less than my goal in order to accomplish that result.
Shares rose by 1.9% over one day for a +676% annual rate. The options position produced a 20.7% return for a +7,563% annual rate.
I have entered a short bull put vertical spread on MCD, using options that trade for the last time 25 days hence, on August 19. The premium is a $1.34 credit per contract share and the stock at the time of entry was priced at $249.46.
The Implied Volatility Ratio stood at 44.78%.
|MCD-bull put spread||Strike||Odds||Delta|
The premium is 53.6% of the width of the position’s short/long spread. The profit zone covers a 1.3% move to the downside and an unlimited move to the upside.
The risk/reward ratio is 2.7:1, with maximum risk of $366 and maximum reward of $134 per contract.
How I chose the trade. The trade was placed to coincide with MCD’s earnings announcement, before the opening bell on the day after entry. The short strikes were set to coincide with the expected move of $5.75 either way, based on options pricing, which gives a price range of $243.71 to $255.21.
By Tim Bovee, Portland, Oregon, July 25, 2022
Tim Bovee, Private Trader tracks the analysis and trades of a private trader for his own accounts. Nothing in this blog constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, options or any other financial instrument. The only purpose of this blog is to provide education and entertainment.
No trader is ever 100 percent successful in his or her trades. Trading in the stock and option markets is risky and uncertain. Each trader must make trading decisions for his or her own account, and take responsibility for the consequences.
All content on Tim Bovee, Private Trader by Timothy K. Bovee is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Based on a work at www.timbovee.com.