Apple Inc. (AAPL)

Update 7/29/2022: I exited my short bull put vertical spread on AAPL, 21 days before expiration, for a $0.93 debit per contract/share, a profit before fees of $107 per contract. Shares were trading at $161.24, up $6.12 from the entry level.

The Implied Volatility Rank at exit was 35.8%, down 5.4 points from the entry level.

I exited on the day after entry because the position reached 53.5% of maximum potential profit, well above my normal exit point for earnings plays, 25% of max.

Shares rose by 3.9% over one day for a +1,440% annual rate. The options position produced a 115.1% return for a +41,995% annual rate.

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I have entered a short bull put vertical spread on AAPL, using options that trade for the last time 22 days hence, on August 19. The premium is a $2.00 credit per contract share and the stock at the time of entry was priced at $155.12.

The Implied Volatility Ratio stood at 41.2%.

Premium:	$2.00	Expire OTM
AAPL-bull put spread	Strike	Odds	Delta
Puts
Long	145.00	76.0%	22
Break-even	154.50	66.5%	31.5
Short	152.50	57.0%	41

The premium is 53.3% of the width of the position’s short/long spread. The profit zone covers a 0.4% move to the downside and an unlimited move to the upside.

The risk/reward ratio is 2.8:1, with maximum risk of $550 and maximum reward of $200 per contract.

How I chose the trade. The trade was placed to coincide with AAPL’s earnings announcement, after the closing bell on the day of entry. The short strikes were set to coincide with the expected move of $4.70 either way, based on options pricing, which gives a price range of $152.20 to $161.60.

By Tim Bovee, Portland, Oregon, July 28, 2022

Disclaimer

Tim Bovee, Private Trader tracks the analysis and trades of a private trader for his own accounts. Nothing in this blog constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, options or any other financial instrument. The only purpose of this blog is to provide education and entertainment.

No trader is ever 100 percent successful in his or her trades. Trading in the stock and option markets is risky and uncertain. Each trader must make trading decisions for his or her own account, and take responsibility for the consequences.

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Based on a work at www.timbovee.com.