Yum China Holdings Inc. (YUMC)
Update 7/24/2017: YUMC gapped downward after earnings were published and quickly returned to about the midpoint of the gap, making the position profitable. I exited at 8% of maximum potential profit, below my 25% target, well before expiration to clear my account for other trades.
Shares declined by 6.3% over 19 days, or a -120% annual rate. The options position produced an 8.9% yield on debit for a +170.8% annual rate.
YUMC publishes earnings on Wednesday after the closing bell.
I shall use options that trade for the last time 16 days hence, on July 21.
Implied volatility stands at 41%, which is 3.6 times the VIX, a measure of the volatility of the S&P 500 index.
YUMC’s IV stands in the 16th percentile of its annual range, due to an initial public offering spike last November, and the 91st percentile of its most recent broad movement.
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