NFLX Analysis

Netflix Inc. (NFLX)

NFLX publishes earnings on Monday after the closing bell.

I shall use the MAY series of options, which trades for the last time 32 days hence, on May 19.

Implied volatility stands at 43%, which is 2.9 times the VIX, a measure of the volatility of the S&P 500 index.

NFLX’s IV stands in the 48th percentile of its annual range and the 95th percentile of its most recent broad movement.

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UAL Analysis

United Continental Holdings Inc. (UAL)

Update 4/25/2017: UAL whipsawed with a decline after earnings were published, and then rose to profitability. I exited at my target, 25% of maximum potential profit.

Shares rose by 1.6% over eight days, or a +71% annual rate. The options position produced a 33.4% yield on debit for a +1,525% annual rate.


 

UAL publishes earnings on Monday after the closing bell.

I shall use the MAY series of options, which trades for the last time 32 days hence, on May 19.

Implied volatility stands at 35%, which is 2.3 times the VIX, a measure of the volatility of the S&P 500 index.

UAL’s IV stands in the 23rd percentile of its annual range and the 67th percentile of its most recent broad movement.

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HOG Analysis

Harley-Davidson Inc. (HOG)

Update 4/26/2017:

HOG declined sharply after earnings were published and then retained sufficient ground to the upside that, along with declining implied volatility and time decay, allowed it to become profitable. I exited at my target price of 25% of maximum potential profit.

Shares declined by 4.5% over nine days, or a -184% annual rate. The options position produced a 33.1% yield on debit for a +1,344% annual rate


 

HOG publishes earnings on Tuesday before the opening bell.

I shall use the MAY series of options, which trades for the last time 32 days hence, on May 19.

Implied volatility stands at 40%, which is 2.6 times the VIX, a measure of the volatility of the S&P 500 index.

HOG’s IV stands in the 46th percentile of its annual range and the 95th percentile of its most recent broad movement.

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GS Analysis

The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS)

GS publishes earnings on Tuesday before the opening bell.

I shall use the MAY series of options, which trades for the last time 32 days hence, on May 19.

Implied volatility stands at 26%, which is 1.7 times the VIX, a measure of the volatility of the S&P 500 index.

GS’s IV stands in the 33rd percentile of its annual range and the 72nd percentile of its most recent broad movement.

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BAC Analysis

Bank of America Corp. (BAC)

Update 5/15/2017: BAC rose sharply beginning on the 5th trading day after earnings were published, gapping on two consecutive days and rapidly becoming unprofitable. As expiration approached, I exited the position for a $3.10 debit.

Shares rose by 6.6% over 28 days, or a +86% annual rate. The options position produced a -23.6% loss on debit for a -308% annual rate.


BAC publishes earnings on Tuesday before the opening bell.

I shall use the MAY series of options, which trades for the last time 32 days hence, on May 19.

Implied volatility stands at 30%, which is double the VIX, a measure of the volatility of the S&P 500 index.

BAC’s IV stands in the 33rd percentile of its annual range and the 77th percentile of its most recent broad movement.

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PNC Analysis

The PNC Financial Services Group Inc. (PNC)

PNC publishes earnings on Thursday before the opening bell.

I shall use the MAY series of options, which trades for the last time 37 days hence, on May 19.

Implied volatility stands at 27%, which is 1.8 times the VIX, a measure of the volatility of the S&P 500 index.

PNC’s IV stands in the 43rd percentile of its annual range and the 99th percentile of its most recent broad movement.

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C Analysis

Citigroup Inc. (C)

Update 4/19/2017: C gapped to the downside after earnings were published and then rose back to profitable levels. I exited at 18.2% of maximum potential profit.

Shares declined by 0.9% over seven days, or a -47% annual rate. The options position produced a 22.2% yield on debit for a +1,159% annual rate


 

C publishes earnings on Thursday before the opening bell.

I shall use the MAY series of options, which trades for the last time 37 days hence, on May 19.

Implied volatility stands at 27%, which is 1.8 times the VIX, a measure of the volatility of the S&P 500 index.

C’s IV stands in the 26th percentile of its annual range and the 93rd percentile of its most recent broad movement.

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