Update 10/14/2022: I exited my short bull put vertical spread on JPM, 35 days before expiration, for a $2.65 debit per contract/share, a loss before fees of $47 per contract. Shares were trading at $112.03, up $2.96 from the entry level.
The Implied Volatility Rank at exit was 65.1%, down 10.9 points from the entry level.
I exited on the day after entry because the position became unprofitable. The position ended with 94% of maximum potential loss.
Shares rose by 2.8% over one day for a +991% annual rate. The options position produced a 17.7% loss for a -6,474% annual rate.
I have entered a short bear call vertical spread on JPM, using options that trade for the last time 36 days hence, on November 18. The premium is a $2.18 credit per contract share and the stock at the time of entry was priced at $109.07.
The Implied Volatility Ratio stood at 76%.
|JPM-bear call spread||Strike||Odds||Delta|
The premium is 87.2% of the width of the position’s short/long spread. The profit zone covers a 2.9% move to the upside and an unlimited move to the downside.
The risk/reward ratio is 1.3:1, with maximum risk of $292 and maximum reward of $218 per contract.
How I chose the trade. The trade was placed to coincide with JPM’s earnings announcement, before the opening bell on the day after entry. The short strikes were set to coincide with the expected move of $1.55 either way, based on options pricing, which gives a price range of $107.59 to $10.55. The analysts’ consensus is that (sym) will announce earnings of $2.97 per share.
By Tim Bovee, Portland, Oregon, October 13, 2022
Tim Bovee, Private Trader tracks the analysis and trades of a private trader for his own accounts. Nothing in this blog constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell stocks, options or any other financial instrument. The only purpose of this blog is to provide education and entertainment.
No trader is ever 100 percent successful in his or her trades. Trading in the stock and option markets is risky and uncertain. Each trader must make trading decisions for his or her own account, and take responsibility for the consequences.
All content on Tim Bovee, Private Trader by Timothy K. Bovee is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Based on a work at www.timbovee.com.
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